Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 1.980899 2.293408 2.637022 3.042577 3.507888 4.024795 4.642333
2025-03-02 1.436235 1.816203 2.269930 2.850653 3.573203 4.441646 5.563779
2025-03-09 1.143753 1.562892 2.100874 2.839774 3.825942 5.094318 6.847014
2025-03-16 0.905183 1.327007 1.904969 2.750843 3.952977 5.595302 8.003993
2025-03-23 0.797060 1.244300 1.893790 2.899478 4.410273 6.586743 9.949761
2025-03-30 0.697537 1.153826 1.852818 2.992452 4.793234 7.515389 11.924767
2025-04-06 0.599093 1.046114 1.765889 2.997053 5.035684 8.257292 13.707083
2025-04-13 0.490251 0.901643 1.596356 2.840206 4.993419 8.542053 14.795844
2025-04-20 0.443169 0.854220 1.578836 2.930685 5.365981 9.533044 17.149626
2025-04-27 0.411766 0.829217 1.595145 3.079661 5.854402 10.769629 20.060634
2025-05-04 0.373672 0.784988 1.569293 3.146200 6.199583 11.790336 22.702061
2025-05-11 0.336227 0.735677 1.526087 3.172145 6.468913 12.698810 25.234214
2025-05-18 0.290134 0.662616 1.428880 3.084532 6.519586 13.227730 27.159910
2025-05-25 0.245252 0.584435 1.309565 2.934371 6.424567 13.463970 28.545112
2025-06-01 0.220912 0.547687 1.271717 2.949685 6.671689 14.405401 31.454193
2025-06-08 0.192813 0.497357 1.196677 2.872793 6.711345 14.926262 33.555557
2025-06-15 0.184869 0.494073 1.227096 3.037386 7.302507 16.672351 38.459269
2025-06-22 0.173499 0.480296 1.230957 3.140514 7.767207 18.196646 43.051361
2025-06-29 0.157813 0.452649 1.197335 3.148844 8.011606 19.259124 46.729590
2025-07-06 0.135221 0.402488 1.100280 2.986322 7.824703 19.318289 48.111373
2025-07-13 0.127680 0.392631 1.104782 3.082490 8.286706 20.940292 53.347871
2025-07-20 0.123333 0.391176 1.131202 3.239639 8.922618 23.046357 59.979154
2025-07-27 0.115667 0.378584 1.125605 3.309960 9.342265 24.669604 65.599041